Thursday, 3 September 2009

Treble For Friday

A very productive day, Thursday, with all the services in excellent form.

On Friday, Sounds Of Jupiter (8-50 Kempton) goes for the hat-trick after bypassing Thursday's engagement. I still think he should complete the treble but Kempton's racecourse doesn't fill me with the same level of confidence as yesterday. It is a very poor venue.

Kieren Fallon returns, Friday and he should start the way he means to carry on with a winner (Rare Malt 2-20 Lingfield).

And, Petomic (3-30 Chepstow) won his last race with some (wayward) authority and should win again before the handicapper can fully penalise him.

The Handicap Ratings and Speed Ratings combined top three strike rate for Thursday was 76% following Wednesday's 59% following Tuesday's 89%, Monday's 75% and Sunday's 90% -- an in-running weekly average of 77.8%.

There were six from seven successful (4) and (5) UK graded races, Thursday, giving a winning top two strike rate of 86% following Wednesday's 67%, Tuesday's 100%, Monday's 80% and Sunday's 75% -- an in-running weekly average of 81.6%.

The full top three summary for Thursday:

The clear top rated winning strike rate of the (4) and (5) graded races Thursday was 71% following Wednesday's 50%, Tuesday's 0% (no wins), Monday's 50% and Sunday's 50% -- an in-running weekly average of 44.2%.

HANDICAPS
Clear top rated strike rate was 34%. Best SP was 16/1
Top two strike rate (incl joints) was 62%. Best 2nd top SP was 6/1
Top three strike rate was 65%. Best SP was 7/1

SPEED RATINGS
Clear top rated strike rate was 31%. Best SP was 10/1
Top two strike rate (incl joints) was 59%. Best SP was 7/1
Top three strike rate was 69%. Best SP was 12/1
note: Unless there are overnight withdrawals there is always one clear top rated horse (in both services). There are never more than three horses (in either service) in the top two in any race where there are joint 2nd tops (one top rated two joint 2nd top). There are never more than four horses in the top three (in either service) in any race where there are either joint 2nd or joint third tops.

If a horse isn't in the top three rated of the handicaps or the speed ratings, then it is highly likely it won't win.

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