Monday Watch

Fairly good day for the main handicap ratings but the speed ratings were again disappointing.

From today I will also be logging the strike rate of the Select Pick Dutching races

On Monday, many will wonder if Watch Chain's (2-40 Redcar) form last time out is worth taking literally in this lowly nursery handicap. I would advise not. But he has shown improvement in his past three runs and even his 4th to Radio City at Brighton three runs ago puts him in the race with a good chance. He is not massive amounts in front of the handicapper, but enough in front to enable him to win. On that Radio City run he is closely matched with Val C who doesn't seem (to me) to be progressing at any great rate.

The Handicap Ratings and Speed Ratings combined top three strike rate for Sunday 75% - an in-running weekly average of 75%

There was one from three successful (4) and (5) UK graded races, Sunday, giving a top two strike rate of 33% - an in-running weekly average of 33%

The Select Pick dutching races gave one from two wins, Sunday, giving a successful dutching strike rate of 50% - an in-running weekly average of 50%

The full top three summary for Sunday:

The clear top rated winning strike rate of the (4) and (5) graded races Sunday was 33% - an in-running weekly average of 33%

HANDICAPS
Clear top rated strike rate was 35%. Best top rated SP was 9/2
Top two strike rate (incl joints) was 65%. Best 2nd top SP was 6/1
Top three strike rate was 75%. Best 3rd top SP was 7/2

SPEED RATINGS
Clear top rated strike rate was another low 15%. Best top rated SP was 3/1
Top two strike rate (incl joints) was 35%. Best 2nd top SP was 9/2
Top three strike rate was 50%. Best 3rd top SP was 7/2
note: Unless there are overnight withdrawals there is always one clear top rated horse (in both services). There are never more than three horses (in either service) in the top two in any race where there are joint 2nd tops (one top rated two joint 2nd top). There are never more than four horses in the top three (in either service) in any race where there are either joint 2nd or joint third tops.

If a horse isn't in the top three rated of the handicaps or the speed ratings, then it is highly likely it won't win.

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