TowerForm

The week ended the way it should have started. The ratings picked up significantly with some good priced winners - and the (4) and (5) graded races showed some improvement to almost perform the way they normally do. But the latter's better performance couldn't quite raise the percentages up to normal standards. Onwards to a new week.

On Sunday I will be having a small wager on Signor Peltro (5-05 Goodwood) hoping he continues his good form over a track he has coped well with in the past. I shall also be keeping a close eye on South Cape in this race. He is 4lbs out of the handicap but still well handicapped on his best form of last season. He ran as though running into some form last time out, fading slowly in the final furlong. Many race watchers will have noted him down after that run.

The Handicap Ratings and Speed Ratings combined top three strike rate for Saturday was 72% following Friday's 62%, Thursday's 65%, Wednesday's 75%, Tuesday's 75%, Monday's 81% and Sunday's 76% -- a final weekly average of an acceptable 72.3%

There were four from seven successful (4) and (5) UK graded races, Saturday, giving a winning top two strike rate of 57% following Friday's 50%, Thursday's 50%, Wednesday's 75%, Tuesday's 50%, Monday's 50% and Sunday's 67% -- a disappointing final weekly average of 57%

The full top three summary for Saturday:

The clear top rated winning strike rate of the (4) and (5) graded races Saturday was an improved 43% following Friday's 25%, Thursday's s 0% (no wins) which continued the subdued week so far after Wednesday's one winner for a 25% win ratio. This followed Tuesday which was another low 25%, Monday's very low 17% and Sunday's 33% -- a final weekly average of only 24%

HANDICAPS
Clear top rated strike rate was 31%. Best top rated SP was 12/1
Top two strike rate (incl joints) was 56%. Best 2nd top SP was 7/1
Top three strike rate was 67%. Best 3rd top SP was 11/1

SPEED RATINGS
Clear top rated strike rate was 28%. Best top rated SP was 8/1
Top two strike rate (incl joints) was 46%. Best 2nd top SP was 6/1
Top three strike rate was 64%. Best 3rd top SP was 12/1
note: Unless there are overnight withdrawals there is always one clear top rated horse (in both services). There are never more than three horses (in either service) in the top two in any race where there are joint 2nd tops (one top rated two joint 2nd top). There are never more than four horses in the top three (in either service) in any race where there are either joint 2nd or joint third tops.

If a horse isn't in the top three rated of the handicaps or the speed ratings, then it is highly likely it won't win.

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