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The Handicap Ratings and Speed Ratings combined top three strike rate for Wednesday was 85% (only five races failed to provide the winner) this followed Tuesday's 76%, Monday's 70% and Sunday's 76%, an in running weekly average of just under 77% following last week's final weekly average of exactly 72%. If a horse isn't in the top three rated of the handicaps or the speed ratings, then it is highly likely it won't win. You can see an explanation of the Handicap Ratings HERE and an explanation of the Speed Ratings HERE. The Speed Ratings are an addition to the handicaps at no extra cost and you can subscribe HERE. There has never been a better time to join us. Today there were six clear top rated winners at Leicester and a 2nd top 20/1 winner in Edgeworth at Windsor.
There were eight from nine successful (4) and (5) UK graded races, Wednesday. Six were won by the clear top rated horse, two were won by the clear 2nd top rated horse and one race was unsuccessful.
You can confidently draw a thick black line through Acrostic's run on Wednesday. He tried to get through a gap a furlong or so out and was looking likely to burst through to win. But the gap wasn't really wide enough and he was hit over the nose by a flailing whip. Thereafter, he looked reticent when asked to go forward - his nose was probably stinging badly from the whip strike. He was full of running at the finish and will certainly be carrying my money next time out. There was another unlucky horse in the race, Collateral Damage, but he has frequently flattered to deceive and if the two meet again soon, I will be confident that the progressive Acrostic will come out best.
To Thursday: Invincible Lad did the blog a favour over a week ago and though Sandown's 6-45 represents a step up in class, he should have enough talent to win. There are enough quick early paced horses in the field to ensure he gets the fast pace he needs.
Invincible Lad's rider (Ryan Moore) should have an afternoon winner for his father on Lingfield's turf in the 4-20. In a race that is a seller by any other name Jafaru is one of few in the race who is suited both by the ground and the distance. He showed a lot of guts to hold on last time at Brighton, and this fairly similar, quirky switchback track should also suit him well.
Have a good day.
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