Don't Avoid This Bomb

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The Handicap Ratings and Speed Ratings combined top three strike rate for Wednesday was 71% following Tuesday's meagre 58%, Monday's 77% and Sunday's 73%, an in running weekly average of 69% following the previous two week's final weekly averages 76.7% and 72%. If a horse isn't in the top three rated of the handicaps or the speed ratings (except on Tuesday's at Redcar and Salisbury), then it is highly likely it won't win. You can see an explanation of the Handicap Ratings HERE and an explanation of the Speed Ratings HERE. The Speed Ratings are an addition to the handicaps at no extra cost and you can subscribe HERE. There has never been a better time to join us.

There were nine (4) and (5) UK graded races, Wednesday. Three were won by the top rated horse and three were won by the 2nd top - two of them joint. Three races were unsuccessful.

The blog has been lean, winner-wise, the past few days. Neither Frankie nor Spencer could win for us, Wednesday. Saloon ran as if he had just exited one he was so unwilling to pass his rival, and Mega Watt failed to generate anything (I know, the pun is awful).

To another day, Thursday..........................

Murcar (2-30 Nottingham) was transformed by blinkers when running away with a Newbury handicap last time and shouldn't be overburdened with his 8lbs rise in the weights. He was eased down once he had won his race and looks likely to overcome the dreaded "blinker bounce" and win again. Jamie Spencer hasn't a great record on the Cox horses but the trainer, whose horses are running well in the main, has an excellent course record. Monte Pattino and Shy seem the obvious dangers.

Later on Nottingham's card (4-45) Bombina looks good to follow up her Newmarket win. Looking at her form, it would seem her handicap mark is lower than it should be because she showed nothing when tackling listed class on her second run last year. Her win last time was the first race since. She won that quite comfortably under tender handling and looked as though her breeding would enable her to successfully tackle this extra two furlongs. There are a few inproving types in opposition, not least Inis Boffin and Teeky. But Bombina has the promise to improve even more herself.

Have a good day.