Sunday, 31 May 2009

It's Just a Perfect Day

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The Handicap Ratings and Speed Ratings combined top three strike rate for Sunday was 76% following last week's final weekly average of exactly 72%. If a horse isn't in the top three rated of the handicaps or the speed ratings, then it is highly likely it won't win. You can see an explanation of the Handicap Ratings HERE and an explanation of the Speed Ratings HERE. The Speed Ratings are an addition to the handicaps at no extra cost and you can subscribe HERE. There has never been a better time to join us.

The (4) and (5) UK graded races were as close to useless as you can get, Sunday. There were only two and though one was successful it was in a race that had half the field as non runners - leaving only the (4) and (5) graded horses in it. So it was and unloseable, blind-monkey-chosen win for the dutches. Worst performance ever by a Roman league....

On Monday, Perfect Friend seems to have been found a choice opportunity in Leicester's 5-00. Currently in top form, she heralded another win when outpaced close home last time at Chepstow with the others well beaten off. That race was over a stiff 6f but she much prefers an easy 7f, which the Leicester course provides. I consider the biggest danger to be Alexander Loyalty who has found trouble in running the last twice she has run. Both times she has looked for all the world as though she needed a longer trip. Today's 7f should be ideal and I expect her to follow Perfect Friend home.

The eyes are drawn to Follow the Flag in Thirsk's 6-40 but the glaring lack of a confirmed front runner puts a horse he beat last time firmly in the frame. Champain Sands is not a horse to put your mortgage on since he is a rare winner (he hasn't won since August 2007 over this course and distance). But his ageing legs should be able to keep closer tabs on the leaders, tomorrow evening, making his customary late (usually too late) surge a very dangerous weapon. Monday may just be the day to catch him and I shall be having a small wager on him just in case.

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