Monday, 18 May 2009

Dutch Tuesday

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The Speed Ratings continue to be a very useful addition to our handicaps and both are currently showing a combined top three percentage strike rate of well over 65%. Monday's figure was 73% following Sunday's 75%. You can see an explanation of the Speed Ratings HERE. They are an addition to the handicaps at no extra cost and you can subscribe HERE.

There were eight(4) and (5) UK graded races, Monday. Three were won by the clear top rated horse and one by the joint top rated (joint because the original top rated was a non runner), two were won by the 2nd top rated - one of which was joint 2nd top. The other two races were unsuccessful.

Monsieur Chevalier was more impressive than it first looked. He showed (me, at least) that a sixth furlong would suit. He should go to Royal Ascot's Coventry Stakes with a favourite's chance.

Kyllachy Storm seemed to struggle to beat off the runner up. Yet, it also looked as though he wasn't really striding out on the ground which was a bit softer than when he last won - although the balance of his form suggests he is better with this amount of give. The third was a long way back and he could suffer quite a lot for this win. It will be interesting to see how the handicapper reacts.

I cannot explain the run of Dice. Yes, he was not given an easy passage at times in the race, and true he did run a bit free - but only for a short time, and there could be an excuse about the rain softened ground. But he was beaten without any fight and there didn't seem to be any hint that he is going to win too soon after this. He is with the right trainer to bring out the best in him. I only hope Dice isn't the wimp he appeared to be here. Next time will obviously tell more.

There isn't too much that lights up my betting radar, Tuesday. Rapid Water (6-40 Leicester) is a promising son of the legendary Lochsong and should go well. He travelled very well and quickened nicely when beating a Godolphin hot pot last time. He seems only to have Devil You Know to beat. That horse won his maiden tidily after starting slowly and, on the bare form, seems to have produced the best performance of the two. But Rapid Water looks likely to improve a bit more for the run and the race looks a very good Dutching opportunity.

Angaric (3-50 Musselburgh) is in form, does well at the course, has his ground and has been raised only a pound for his win there last time. And his trainer has an excellent record at the course. Those are enough ticked boxes for me to bet him small tomorrow.

Have a rainless Tuesday - if you can.

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