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The Handicap Ratings and Speed Ratings combined top three percentage strike rate for Saturday was 68% bringing the weekly average (Sunday to Saturday) to 72.5%. If a horse wasn't in the top three rated of the handicaps or the speed ratings this week, then it was highly likely it didn't win. When including the fourth top rated of each service the figure was well into the 80s%. You can see an explanation of the Speed Ratings HERE. They are an addition to the handicaps at no extra cost and you can subscribe HERE. There has never been a better time to join us.
There were eight (4) and (5) UK graded races, Saturday. Three were won by the clear top rated horse and three were won by the 2nd top rated -- two of them joint. The remaining two races were unsuccessful.
Desert Creek won very comfortably after running free for a while early. He was far too good for these and his Royal Ascot Britannia option looks in danger as the handicapper won't be too kind on him after this.
The dutch bet was successful, though I was ruing the decision not to have bet Bouvardia to win on her own.
Delegator proved very disappointing in the Irish 2000 Guineas. He looked okay until the pressure was applied and after he drifted both times at Newmarket, the suspicion is beginning to surface that he doesn't like being "got at" by his rider.
Waterdale, my fun each way punt was declared lame and unable to run early Saturday morning. I'm not sure I'll be brave enough to punt on him in the future unless the race looks exactly like today's.
The Irish 1000 Guineas takes center stage tomorrow (3-40 Curragh). I can't help feeling that the heavy ground will enable Lahaleeb to run a big race, but I think Cuis Ghaire will add to Mr Bolger's Classic tally.
Over in France, Quevega (4-35 Auteuil) looks likely to uphold Willie Mullins's good record at the track.
There is nothing else too exciting to think about betting overnight, so I will be looking again in the morning. Not sure I will be too tempted, though.
Have an easy Sunday.
Saturday, 23 May 2009
Bolger's Reason For Laughter
Labels:
Curragh,
graded races,
Irish 1000 Guineas,
ratings,
speed ratings
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