Sod's Law in Action

Last night I said, "According to the overall record, it is unlikely that the winner of the Grand National will start at over 20/1. But many huge prices do get placed." Well, I suppose I was right. The 100/1 winner was placed first....

That was the start of a horrifying end to Aintree for punters. The last two winners were both 66/1. How the bookies must have prayed for such a day.

As for my each way fancies: Kilbeggan Blade's race ended at the Chair. He made a terrible error at the fence and went backwards thereafter - eventually pulling up. When I saw it second time round, it was a wonder he lasted so long after the blunder.

Black Apalachi was running the exact race he ran when he won the Bechers by a large margin. He made the common Bechers Brook error of landing too steeply. And, though he didn't exactly fall, the laws of inertia kicked in and the jockey had no chance of staying in the saddle.

Interesting to note that Mon Mome had been beaten comfortably by Kilbeggan Blade when they met early this year. Sod's Law in action....

The grade (4) and (5) races did well, Saturday. In the UK there were two (5) graded races, both won by the clear top rated; and six (4) graded races, one unsuccessful. two won by the clear top and three by the 2nd top rated (two of them joint).

In the USA there was one (5) graded race which won; and one (4) graded race which was unsuccessful.

Sunday is the Travelling Circus after the Broadway Musical. It's terrible. There is nothing cast iron to bet overnight. I'll be looking at the (4) and (5) graded races closer to the off. Go HERE to register and monitor the graded races for seven days.